Description

This analysis provides a forecast of AVAX prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-01-05 26.062641 30.092035 34.450817 39.505381 45.194054 51.386814 58.626614
2025-01-12 18.517273 23.924622 30.346222 38.481342 48.454021 60.218546 75.079164
2025-01-19 13.687529 19.401905 26.722713 36.671254 49.702688 66.041583 87.903716
2025-01-26 11.940268 18.226667 26.777369 39.047083 55.950942 78.134815 109.106215
2025-02-02 11.012940 17.903243 27.759598 42.555249 63.797115 92.719153 134.489413
2025-02-09 9.518006 16.456895 26.880063 43.217116 67.604618 101.972379 153.189708
2025-02-16 8.155718 14.960519 25.668518 43.146388 70.197908 109.543595 169.877453
2025-02-23 6.970074 13.538936 24.347061 42.679670 72.033087 115.998060 185.211524
2025-03-02 6.033056 12.378184 23.268997 42.419559 74.062813 122.753285 201.267349
2025-03-09 5.243360 11.346342 22.257588 42.115337 75.917601 129.262004 217.223168
2025-03-16 4.263954 9.789324 20.121702 39.643675 73.957601 129.593776 223.535967
2025-03-23 3.917495 9.420135 20.075042 40.794181 78.112753 139.869608 246.020436
2025-03-30 3.667185 9.246057 20.437885 42.840811 84.188553 154.014432 276.163020
2025-04-06 3.103707 8.306344 19.215030 41.847212 84.885268 159.380110 292.495674
2025-04-13 2.542602 7.254784 17.610417 39.919212 83.682656 161.386246 303.295727
2025-04-20 2.441711 7.277465 18.247074 42.480581 91.010106 178.632272 340.956356
2025-04-27 2.437543 7.539951 19.429195 46.255262 100.909339 200.973083 388.547940
2025-05-04 2.206692 7.171920 19.159258 46.967096 104.907089 212.919523 418.506556
2025-05-11 1.952918 6.688556 18.555673 46.891083 107.315766 222.069410 443.921115
2025-05-18 1.707629 6.173810 17.801035 46.389255 108.794103 229.529978 466.603140
2025-05-25 1.505720 5.740068 17.179463 46.109552 110.684395 237.839262 491.207767
2025-06-01 1.326905 5.334940 16.569429 45.782395 112.428703 245.934556 515.771838
2025-06-08 1.075349 4.626559 15.053519 43.123554 108.916991 243.525797 520.373022